Monday, March 10th saw the front-month NYMEX Natural Gas Futures Contract open at $4.643, up $0.244 compared to Friday’s closing price of $4.399. Recording a fresh two-year intraday high of $4.645 within minutes of the open, traders looked past the latest weather forecasts to focus on storage levels for next winter. Squeezing out the remaining short positions along the way, analysts agree that the current rally is overdone. Pulling back to record the intraday low of $4.47 at 10:00, the contract traded sideways near the $4.500 level for the balance of the session. April closed higher on Monday at $4.491.
The EIA Natural Gas Storage Report published last Thursday posted an 80 BCF withdrawal from storage for the week ended February 28 – below the market estimate of a 97 BCF withdrawal. Total working gas in storage was reported as 1,760 BCF; 24.9% below this time last year and 11.3% below the five-year average.
As of 6:50AM this morning in Globex, WTI Crude was up $0.770; Natural Gas was down $0.013; Heating Oil was up $0.015; and Gasoline was up $0.023.
For access to Sprague’s full Natural Gas Market Watch Report including commentary not posted here, please send your request to natgas@spragueenergy.com or call 1-855-466-2842